25th February 2016
The Social Democrats are projected to win at least five seats in Friday’s General Election, according analysis by RTE.
The party has consistently polled at around 4% in multiple surveys conducted over the last ten days, while several candidates have seen their odds shorten dramatically.
Amongst those expected to do well are party co-leader Roisin Shorthall (Dublin North-West), co-leader Stephen Donnelly (Wicklow), co-leader Catherine Murphy (Kildare North), Anne-Marie McNally (Dublin Mid-West) and Niall O’Tuathail (Galway West).
Speaking to the Social Democrats, Paddy Power noted the strengths of the various candidates and why the party has been growing in popularity.
Wicklow candidate Stephen Donnelly is highly regarded by the public for his “expertise on economic affairs”, as well as a Leader’s Debate presentation that was “widely acclaimed”. The bookmakers are currently giving Donnelly odds of 1/50.
Galway West candidate Niall O’Tuathail is another candidate shaking up the establishment, described as being “the biggest mover of all”.
He is currently being given odds of 10/3, having started out at 33/1, and has doubled his vote over the last three weeks. O’Tuathail ran the Yes Equality campaign in Galway and is noted by the bookmakers for having made good use of social media to listen to Galway’s large, disillusioned student population. He is currently in contention for the last seat with Catherine Connelly.
“Steady, consistent messaging by the spearheads of the Social Democrats’ campaign has embedded the fledgling group in the minds of the electorate”, said a spokesperson for Paddy Power.
“Betting would suggest that the foundations have been laid and there is potential for them to fill a void at the left of the spectrum in Ireland.”
A spokesperson for the Social Democrats said the party’s growing popularity is clear evidence of a “rejection of auction politics and a burning desire for a better Ireland.”
The poll of polls analysis published today was conducted by Michael Marsh, Emeritus Professor, Trinity College Dublin, for RTE News